January 23, 2004

The Politics of Pragmatism
Posted by McQ

OK I’ll admit it, I’m a cynic. I’ve come to believe over the years that while all politicians spout ideological rhetoric, they’re all, deep down, the ultimate pragmatists. That’s because ideology may help get you elected but it won’t keep you in office. Pragmatism will. Now that’s not particularly profound (in fact some would say it’s a blinding flash of the obvious), but it does explain a lot of what’s gone on with the Bush administration’s domestic policy in the past couple of years and why this proposal is now on the table:

“President Bush will propose an increase of less than 1 percent for federal programs not related to defense or homeland security, effectively freezing discretionary spending in the next budget, after coming under fire from conservatives to control runaway spending.”

Altogether now, this is being done for what reason? To appeal to his “ideological base”, i.e. the conservatives. Why? Because they’re growing more and more restless. Again, not a particularly profound observation, but stay with me here.

The Prez has done what on domestic issues? Well he’s taken parts of the liberal agenda and essentially used it against them. He’s neutralized it. And the reason he’s done that? To innoculate himself against the Dems during the election season.

Pure pragmatism.

Sure they can knock No Child Left Behind, but who’s going to believe them if they say he’s done nothing for education, not to mention the fact that whoever’s running against him will have most likely voted FOR it? And of course the same thing can be said for the Medicare prescription drug benefit and other provisions passed during his first 4 years. So my guess is, when the great mass of undecided actually get around to making a decision, this area may be a tough sell for the Dems.

The war on Iraq and more broadly, the war on terror? Done - barring some sort of disaster there. I don’t care who the Dems run (well, except Lieberman, the only “Tony Blair Democrat” among them, and he doesn’t have a chance in hell), these are Bush’s issues. He essentially owns them. The Dems come off whiny about this, and their continued appeals to the UN aren’t that appealing to most voters.

The economy is better, and just guessing here, by the time we get serious about really electing the president, jobs will be rebounding in a big way. If so the “Two Americas” campaign of the Dems (also known as the usual “class warfare” campaign) is going to sound fairly hollow.

So, what time is it then for the White House? Its “shore up the base” time. Right on schedule. Please refer to the conservative “red meat” thrown out during the State of the Union Address as the opening shot in this endeavor.

The big swing to the center-right has begun.

And the timing is such that the administration beats the Dems there by a mile (heck the Dems are still fighting about a direction to take at the moment) and shows up just when those undecideds are starting to pay attention. Look for more “conservative” proposals to come out of the White House in future months ... but not too many ... just enough to assuage the base and keep it mostly happy (and quiet) and have those in center who’re undecided take notice.

Pure politics, pure pragmatism and in my estimation, a winner ... politically speaking.

But here’s the question: While it’s a political winner, is it a winner for the country?

Does its end product represent the type of government we want in this country? Bigger, more expensive, more intrusive regardless of the party in power?

That’s the result. That’s precisely what this formula brings whether it’s Bush, Clinton or whomever using it.

Solution? I haven’t the foggiest idea if there is a workable solution given the realities of politics today, but it seems that as long as this sort of pragmatic formula wins, it’ll continue to be used. I, for one (being a government minimalist and fiscal conservative), am not at all happy about it.

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Comments

"Pure politics, pure pragmatism ... is it a winner for the country? Does its end product represent the type of government we want in this country? Bigger, more expensive, more intrusive regardless of the party in power?"

Uhm. The type of government that is responsive to the democratically expressed will of the people? Imposing only those taxes consistant with the taxpayers' representatives' sense of the willingness of those taxpayers to pay? A government concerned with the common defense, active in promoting general welfare --(albeit a bit laggard, lately, in securing "blessings" from the Goddess Liberty or any other diety...)?

Well, you know, we could do a lot worse.

Posted by: Pouncer at January 23, 2004 11:20 AM

Hey, like your new blog site format! Very nicely done. And this analysis of what's up with the Prez is quite astute. Being the leader of the GOP has got to be a pretty tricky thing, as there are indeed all of the traditional hard-core conservatives that want the "red meat", and then there's people like me- socially liberal but fiscally conservative and uncompromising on national security and our war against radical Islam. The President has got to cover both ends of the spectrum, and it's quite a balancing act. I figure they're calculating "let's just get the 4 more years, then we'll deal with all of the pandering items we've stolen from the Dems". At least I hope so...

Posted by: technosapien at January 23, 2004 11:37 AM

The move to appease his base has already started...what do you think the recess appointment of Pickering was for? He could've possibly done political damage to the Dems by offering an appointment to Estrada or Janice Rogers.

But I honestly think that he shouldn't be all that worried about appeasing his base. What's the alternative for them? Stay home, vote Libertarian? Sorry, but I can't see conservatives being that stupid. The next admin will have at least 1 opening on the SCOTUS to deal with. Possibly more than that. And conservatives are going to let John Kerry do that because Bush didn't reign in spending enough for them? Indeed, it's time for conservatives to be pragmatic like everyone else has to be. They need to figure out what they REALLY want. Do they want a President who spends too freely in an effort to co-opt the opposition agenda but is also strong on the war on terror and will appoint conservative minded judges? Or do they want a hard line conservative president who would only do 1 term, leaving all sorts of crucial decisions to a Democrat successor?
Time to choose. Life is compromise, politics is not much different.

Posted by: Shark at January 23, 2004 11:53 AM

I've called this the "Price is Right" theory of government. Neither party has to have principles...they just have to outmanuever their opponents by the smallest margin.

But what of the "will of the people"? Bread and circuses, guys, bread and circuses. Somebody has to be the grown-ups, and it's not happening.

Posted by: Jon Henke at January 23, 2004 01:04 PM

The point is that our system requires compromise (and participation) to do anything at all. Thus, you never get any "pure" expression of policy. This leads to some generalized unhappiness but that is spread quite widely. Generally speaking, the best policy (from a pragmatic sense) is one that maximizes the number of people who are just a little unhappy. That way no one is seen as an unfair winner. Also, it's easier to measure equity if everyone is a little unhappy. (Plus, it forces those who would hold out to participate unless they want their unhappiness quotient to increase.) This has a side benefit of seldom getting into really bad policies which cannot be changed. Think of it as a kind of constant balancing act based on the perception of overall unhappiness. Even our elites are usually unhappy. As said above, it could be worse.

Posted by: JorgXMcKie at January 24, 2004 02:15 PM