February 26, 2004

What Greenspan DID say
Posted by McQ

Let's be real clear on what Greenspan DID say yesterday and what various people are going to try to imply was his message. To begin with he DID say we can't afford Social Security at the level of benefits we're presently paying when the "baby-boom" generation hits.

Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan, stepping into the politically charged debate over Social Security, said yesterday the country can't afford the benefits currently promised to the baby boom generation.

For the life of me, I can't understand how this came as a shock to some people. For those with an ounce of economic sense this was a figurative yawn and a "so what else is new"? No kidding we won't be able to afford it ... some of us have been saying that for YEARS.

He DID talk about the deficit.

He urged Congress to trim those benefits to get control of soaring budget deficits, which he said threatened a "very debilitating" rise in interest rates in coming years.

Service on the debt is the second highest expediture in the budget behind defense. It doesn't take the proverbial rocket scientist to figure that the money spent servicing the debt could be in a better place ... your pocket.

He DID make an extremely important point about the tax cuts ... keep them and make them permanent. Why? Because they are of great benefit to keeping the economy healthy and growing.

Mr. Greenspan also repeated his view that Mr. Bush's tax cuts should be made permanent to bolster economic growth. He said the estimated $1 trillion cost should be paid for, preferably, with spending cuts so the deficit would not be worsened.

And how DID he say the deficit should be reduced?

CUT SPENDING!!

Hello out there in politico-land ... one more time for everyone: CUT SPENDING!

Do you think they'll get it?

Well, no ...

Sen. John Edwards, North Carolina Democrat and presidential candidate, called it "an outrage" for Mr. Greenspan to call for cuts in Social Security while at the same time endorsing making Mr. Bush's tax cuts permanent.

After all, how can you buy votes if you cut spending. And of course:

Rep. Dennis J. Kucinich, Ohio Democrat and also running for president, called for Mr. Greenspan to resign, saying his comments were "a disgrace."

Now days if you attempt to speak the truth, you're called upon to resign. A bit like killing the messenger bearing bad news, isn't it? Doesn't change the news one bit.

But, you say, why was Greenspan talking about Social Security now being such a big problem?

Because the political hacks who call themselves our representatives have been ignoring problems for YEARS. Its called the "third rail of politics" and they've refused to touch it.

Its never been a secret ... its all a numbers game, really and they've known the reality of those numbers for years as well.

77 million "baby-boomers" move into the retirement ranks and projections show the country will go from having just over three workers supporting each retiree to 2.25 workers for every retiree by 2025.

You don't have to be a member of Mensa to figure that one out, do you? Sound like a sound fiscal model to your, or a little more like a Ponzi scheme every passing day?

See you at 65 or 67 or whatever age they decide they'll pay you some of the money you've been shoveling in for years. Try not to die before you at least get SOME of it back.

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Comments

I heard this covered on ABC News via local talk radio. They covered the first two talking-points- SocSec gonna go broke (Outrageous! Who'd a thunk?), and the deficit. Guess they just simply forgot to mention making the tax cuts permanent...gee, wonder why they forgot that?@!!

Posted by: Alan at February 27, 2004 02:15 AM

I've understood the nature of Social Security since I entered the work force in the early '70s, and that is a large part of why I have built up some net worth.

As for getting some of what we put in back, we did that by caring for the MIL in her final days, and then inheriting what was left of her money.

Posted by: triticale at February 27, 2004 02:47 PM

I try to bring this home to my undergraduate students. When they ask (given my non-academic experience) why I'm not in a better-paying job, I tell them there are two reasons: 1) irritating hell out of undergrads while not doing any heavy lifting is worth 25-40K per year; 2) I'm maxed out pretty much in SocSec and I want to educate them all so well that they get really good jobs and pay into SocSec for the next 35 years or so, so there'll be something for me to collect. It actually wakes some of them up.

Posted by: JorgXMcKie at February 28, 2004 02:00 AM

Where do you teach?

Posted by: Jon Henke at February 28, 2004 08:34 AM

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