June 23, 2004

Knowing better
Posted by Jon Henke

Kevin Drum...

Matt Yglesias makes the case today that the Bush administration doesn't actually lie most of the time. Rather, if you parse their words with hyper-precision, you'll see that technically they're telling the truth even if it's plain to a four-year-old that their intent is to mislead and deceive. [...] Let's take this statement from Dick Cheney on Meet the Press last year:
If we're successful in Iraq...we will have struck a major blow right at the heart of the base, if you will, the geographic base of the terrorists who have had us under assault now for many years, but most especially on 9/11.
Each phrase, then, is technically accurate. Taken as a whole, though, it's obvious that his intent was to imply that Iraq was a primary base for al-Qaeda's activities, which is clearly untrue.
This is an interesting--and, I'm afraid, all too typical--example of how partisans apply their own assumptions to their opponents argument in order to make their case.

As Matthew Yglesias argues, a "canny speaker can mislead his audience without necessarily saying anything false" - which, he says, is what the Bush administration did. As evidence, he cites a Bush statement...

"the danger is, is that they work in concert. The danger is, is that al-Qaeda becomes an extension of Saddam's madness and his hatred and his capacity to extend weapons of mass destruction around the world."
...and writes, "Technically speaking, the president didn't say he had any evidence that this would happen, so the fact that there was no evidence it was likely to happen doesn't show that he was lying. But if he wasn't trying to mislead people, then he and his administration are simply in the grips of a paranoid worldview -- leaping at wholly imagined threats and throwing tens of thousands of soldiers and Marines into battle."

Pretty damning stuff. If, of course, you accept Kevin and Matt's assumption about the implications and beliefs of the Bush administration. And if you don't? They don't say.

The problem is this: their assumptions go directly to motivation - a subject about which both Kevin and Matt are making wild-ass guesses. And not just wild-ass guesses, but unfair wild-ass guesses.

Kevin does not, for example, mention the possibility that Dick Cheney could consider Al Qaeda a "global network of relationships, a system for transforming the frustrations and discontents of Islam-natives, marginalized immigrants, the militant sons of immigrants-into a violent expression of jihad" providing "connectivity, training, and financial support to an extensive galaxy of terrorists enterprises, stretching from North Africa to the southern Philippines".
- From the Statement of Brian Jenkins to the National Commission on Terrorist Attacks Upon the United States March 31, 2003.

As such, it's nearly irrelevant where the head of the network is located. If, as the 9/11 Commission found, "Bin Laden sought to build a broader Islamic Army that included terrorist groups from Egypt, Libya, Saudi Arabia and Oman, Tunisia, Jordan, Iraq, Lebanon, Morocco, Somalia, and Eritrea" and "at least one [group] from each did", then Iraq is as much a part of the loose network of terrorism-supporting regions as any other. Perhaps moreso, considering the unstable, warlike nature of the Hussein regime and the uncertain nature of their WMD capabilities.

It seems pretty obvious that Dick Cheney recognizes--and believes in--this paradigm. Does Kevin Drum believe it? Well, it hardly matters. What matters--for the purposes of the debate he's having--is the argument and assumptions that Cheney brings to the table. Drum and Yglesias would, apparently, rather argue with a different set of definitions.

The problem with this is that we can never have a serious argument about a very important topic - we can never debate the arguments the Bush administration makes - if their critics dismiss the arguments they make, and assign them entirely different arguments. Arguments based on assumptions about their motivations. In short, strawmen.

You don't have to agree with the assumptions Cheney makes, but you do have to argue with them. And, for the record, the same thing will apply if John Kerry is elected President. No matter how much we may disagree with a position, argue the merits. Assuming motivations is just...weak. It's the product of echo-chamber discourse.

Matt and Kevin should know better.

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Comments

Funny how so many who didn't pick that up about Clinton, are now saying it about Bush, eh?

Posted by: Bithead at June 23, 2004 08:00 AM

Which is very funny, because probably right next to this piece, Matt and Kevin most likely have something showcasing how "dumb" Bush is.

Who's dumb again? These guys can't figure out if Bush is a rube or Machiavelli.....

Posted by: shark at June 23, 2004 09:05 AM

I wonder if Kevin and Matt understand what a Pyrrhic victory they are setting America up for.

Lets say they (their party and it supporters ;like Moore, Soros, etc.) convince enough people that fighting this way against terrorism is wrong. Do they think that once their boy wins they can turn this around and be more serious about fighting terrorism.

No, they will comdemn us to Clintonian policies (root causes, appologizing for our wealth and power, sucking up to France and Germany, etc.) We will be launching ineffective cruise missle strikes against solitary camels in the desert and saying it was a huge victory. Meanwhile, our enemy will grow in power until we see clouds blooming in our cities. What happens then?

Posted by: capt joe at June 23, 2004 09:37 AM

While I believed then and still believe that Iraq was small potatos in the grand scheme of Islamist terrorism, it IS indeed in the geographic center of it.
Coupled with Afghanistan, we now have troops and bases on two land borders with Iran. Three if you count Uzbeckistan.
We have troops and bases on the land border with Syria as well as Saudi Arabia.
All this at a cost of 800 troops. We lost far more than that at Iwo Jima just to get an emergency landing strip for our B29s during WW2.
What part of geographic center don't these clowns understand? Are they seriously arguing that Iran, Syria and Saudi Arabia have nothing to do with Islamic terrorism? Do they not realise that without troops and bases to take the next step from, there can be no next step?

Posted by: Peter at June 23, 2004 09:45 AM

I take a small amount of solace in the dismal prospect of a Democratic victory this fall. I can then relax and make cheap and intellectually lazy criticisms of the Kerry Adminstration and never bother to fairly evaluate their beliefs and motives.

And I won't research a damn thing because I might read something that gives lie to my facile and cynical nitpicking.

Posted by: spongeworthy at June 23, 2004 03:54 PM

To use a chess analogy Bush controls the entire center of the board while Kerry crows about have the king's rook pawn on the 6th square of the row.

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